Showing posts with label Technology. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Technology. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Exponential Growth of Information Technology

Hello everyone! Today I will be blogging a particularly exciting topic, it is about the exponential growth of information technology, I know it sounds boring but keep reading it will get interesting. Famous futurist Ray Kurzweil who has predicted the rise of the Internet, invented the first music synthesizer capable of recreating the grand piano and other orchestral instruments, first text-to-speech synthesizer, and other inventions, predicts by 2045 a world-altering event will occur that will change the course of human history called the Singularity.


The Singularity occurs as artificial intelligences surpass human intelligence and technological development is taken over by machines and enters a "runaway reaction" of self-improvement, with each new generation of A.I.s appearing faster and faster until technological advancement is explosive and we no longer comprehend the rate of advancement.


Of course the Singularity won't happen suddenly out of nowhere, from present day to sometime around 2045 advancements in technology will take place. Some things Ray Kurzweil predicts is that by 2020 personal computers will have the same processing power as human brains, by 2020 nanomachines will be used for medical purposes drastically extending human lifespan,virtual reality will be so high-quality that it will indistinguishable from reality, nanorobots capable of entering the bloodstream will feed cells and extract waste making food consumption obsolete, Kurzweil even predicts humans will become immortals by 2040 at the latest!


Of course how will all these advancements happen so fast if we don't even have nanorobots or computers that are even half as powerful as the human brain? Well exponential growth will cause technological advancement to become faster and faster as the example shown shown below.
These graphs predict the exponential growth of the past and future, the 1st graph shows the exponential growth of number of calculations of CPU's in the past and the 2nd graph shows the exponential growth of computing in the past to the future. Below is also a video interview of a speech by Ray Kurzweil.

 
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